Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros Betting Pick for 6/21/24

At 8:10 PM ET, the Orioles and Astros will face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Minute Maid Park in Houston, and the Orioles are the favorites on the money line (-158). The Astros are +133 and have won two straight, while the Orioles have a winning streak of two.
Friday’s matchup features Grayson Rodriguez for the Orioles and Jake Bloss for the Astros. Baltimore is 49-25 this season, and the Astros are 35-40. This game is being played in Houston, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
Red-Hot Orioles Close in on Yankees with Stellar Offense and Dominant Pitching,
The Orioles are 49-25 overall, and they are just a half-game behind the Yankees in the AL East. They have gone 19-7 vs. the AL East this year and have a series record of 17-4-3. Baltimore has won four straight series. The Orioles are 25-14 at home and 24-11 on the road. As the favorite, they are 39-20, and they are 10-5 as the underdog.
Grayson Rodriguez has won three straight starts, and he is 8-2 with a 3.20 ERA overall. He is 4-1 with a 4.78 ERA on the road. The Orioles are 46-28 vs. the run line this season. Baltimore leads the MLB in home runs and has the best ISO in the league at .203. Their offense is also 1st in runs per game at 5.3. The over/under line for today’s game is 8.5, and the over is 13-8 when the line is set at 8.5 this year.
Astros’ Rollercoaster Season: Stellar Batting, Mixed Results, and Bloss’ Debut,
The Astros are 35-40 and are 2nd in the AL West. They are 8 games behind the Mariners. Houston has gone 15-12 in divisional games. They are 19-19 at home compared to 16-21 on the road. The Astros are 28-32 as the favorite and 7-8 as the underdog. Their games have gone over the total in 42.7% of their games when the total is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have gone under the total in 32% of their games when the total is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have gone under the total in each of their last four games.
The Astros lead the league in batting average at .259 and are 4th in home runs with 89. They are also the best team in terms of avoiding strikeouts, averaging just 6 per game. Yordan Alvarez is hitting .296 with 15 home runs and 39 RBI. Kyle Tucker leads the team with 19 home runs and 40 RBI. Alex Bregman has hit .316 over his last 9 games. Jake Bloss gets the start for the Astros, and this will be his first start of the season.
Astros Poised for Victory: Bet on Houston’s Money Line at +133,
Our pick for today’s Orioles vs. Astros game is to take the Astros on the money line at +133. We have the Astros winning this one by a score of 6-5, and with the payout at +133, there is a good amount of value in taking the Astros to win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Grayson Rodriguez going for six strikeouts. However, we have him going just five innings, and with a higher ERA than most starters today, we don’t see him as a good pick to pick up a win.