Sports Betting Picks

Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs – NBA Preview – March 12, 2025

The Dallas Mavericks visit the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday night at Frost Bank Center. Dallas is 33-33 and holding the final play-in spot in the Western Conference. San Antonio sits at 26-37 and is 13th in the standings. The Mavericks have won all three matchups this season, including a 133-129 win over San Antonio just two days ago.

Dallas is still battling injuries but managed to win on Monday with just eight healthy players. The Spurs have lost three straight and four of their last five games as they continue to adjust without Victor Wembanyama.

Dallas Preview – Shorthanded but Fighting

The Mavericks played with the NBA-minimum eight players on Monday and still came away with a win. Spencer Dinwiddie led the team with 28 points, while Klay Thompson added 26. Naji Marshall scored 23 points and grabbed 11 rebounds, giving Dallas key production despite their limited roster.

Injuries continue to hurt the Mavericks. Dallas has several players ruled out, including Daniel Gafford, Dereck Lively, and Kyrie Irving, who is out for the season. With limited size in the lineup, the Mavericks are relying on perimeter shooting and small-ball lineups.

Dallas ranks 11th in scoring at 114.8 points per game and is hitting 36.8% from three. Despite their defensive struggles, the Mavericks’ ability to score keeps them competitive in most matchups.

San Antonio Preview – Searching for Answers

San Antonio has struggled since losing Victor Wembanyama for the season. The Spurs are just 3-8 since his injury, and defensive issues have been a major problem. Harrison Barnes led the team with 29 points in Monday’s loss, while Keldon Johnson added 28 points off the bench.

Devin Vassell scored 24 points in that game but struggled from the floor, shooting 10-for-22. The Spurs’ defensive issues continue to be a concern, allowing 116.1 points per game this season. Free throw shooting also hurt them on Monday, as they went just 14-of-24 from the line.

San Antonio will need to improve defensively and limit turnovers to stay competitive against a fast-paced Dallas team.

Betting Prediction

Dallas has controlled the season series, winning all three games by an average of 12 points. The Mavericks’ injury issues are concerning, but their ability to shoot the three and spread the floor gives them an edge against the Spurs’ weak defense. San Antonio has struggled since Wembanyama’s injury, and their inconsistent defense is hard to trust.

Expect Dallas to maintain control and find enough scoring to cover the spread. The total also leans toward the over, given both teams’ defensive struggles and Dallas’ strong shooting.

Pick: Dallas -3 / Over 233.5

Trends to Watch

  • Dallas: Has covered the 4Q spread in 59 of their last 100 games (+16.18 Units / 14% ROI).
  • Dallas: Has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 41 road games (+13.05 Units / 28% ROI).
  • San Antonio: Has hit the 3Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 69 games (+20.32 Units / 26% ROI).
  • San Antonio: Has covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 33 home games (+13.70 Units / 36% ROI).

Enjoy the game between the two teams in Texas!

 

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