Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick

Cleveland comes into this AL Central matchup with the White Sox as heavy favorites, as their money line odds are sitting at -204 compared to the White Sox at +173. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and the game will be played at 6:40 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland. The forecast looks good for Tuesday’s game, with temperatures in the upper 70s and partly cloudy skies.
The White Sox will be starting Chris Flexen, while the Guardians are sending Carlos Carrasco to the mound. Chicago is 5th in the AL Central with a record of 24-62, while the Guardians are leading the division at 52-30. BSGL will be televising this game.
White Sox Face Uphill Battle Against Guardians: Can Flexen and Robert Jr. Turn the Tide?
Chicago is on the road today vs. the Guardians and are 5th in the AL Central, 30 games behind the Guardians. Overall, the White Sox are 24-62 and 6-21 in the AL Central. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their average combined run average of 8.1 runs per game. The White Sox have gone over the line in 38 of their 83 games this season, but when the line is set at 9 runs, they have gone over just 4 times in 14 games.
Chris Flexen is 2-7 with a 5.13 ERA this season and is facing a Guardians lineup that is 20th in scoring. The White Sox offense is last in scoring at 3.1 runs per game and have a team OPS of .627. Luis Robert Jr. is on a 4-game hitting streak, and over his last 7 games, he is hitting .250 with 2 homers. Andrew Vaughn leads the team with 39 RBI this season.
Guardians Dominate AL Central: Ramírez and Naylor Power Cleveland’s Surge
The Cleveland Guardians are 52-30 this season and currently hold a six-game lead in the AL Central. They are 26-9 at home and 26-21 on the road. Carlos Carrasco is 3-6 with a 5.27 ERA this season, and he is coming off a strong outing where he gave up just one earned run in six innings. Overall, the Guardians are 39-37 on the over/under line, with an average combined run total of 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, they are 4-7-2.
The Guardians are 5th in scoring this season, averaging 5 runs per game. José Ramírez is hitting .280 with 23 home runs this season. He has been hot lately, hitting .345 with 4 home runs and 9 RBI over his last seven games. Josh Naylor has also been a key contributor, hitting .242 with 20 home runs and 61 RBI. Cleveland is 36-16 as the favorite and 16-14 as the underdog. They are 20-15 against the run line at home and 46-36 overall.
Guardians to Edge White Sox 6-4: Betting Tips and Projections
Our predicted final score for this White Sox and Guardians matchup is 6-4 in favor of the Guardians. However, with the Guardians at -204 on the money line, we recommend taking the over, as there is a lot of value in this line sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Carlos Carrasco is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Chris Flexen at four. Carrasco is also predicted to go six innings, while we have Flexen at five.
Offensively, our projections have the Guardians finishing with nine hits compared to the White Sox at eight. If you’re looking for a home run prediction, the Guardians are projected to finish with one compared to the White Sox at 0.